Back to Journals » Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma » Volume 11
An Oxidative Stress-Related Prognostic Signature Predicts Treatment Response and Outcomes for Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Transarterial Chemoembolization
Authors Ma H, Yu T, Li ZC, Zhang L, Chen RX, Ren ZG
Received 23 February 2024
Accepted for publication 1 August 2024
Published 13 August 2024 Volume 2024:11 Pages 1569—1580
DOI https://doi.org/10.2147/JHC.S465592
Checked for plagiarism Yes
Review by Single anonymous peer review
Peer reviewer comments 2
Editor who approved publication: Dr Ahmed Kaseb
Hui Ma,1,2,* Ting Yu,3,* Zhong-Chen Li,1 Lan Zhang,1,2 Rong-Xin Chen,1 Zheng-Gang Ren1
1Liver Cancer Institute, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, People’s Republic of China; 2Department of Hepatic Oncology, Xiamen Branch, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Xiamen, People’s Republic of China; 3Department of Pathology, Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, People’s Republic of China
*These authors contributed equally to this work
Correspondence: Hui Ma, Email [email protected]
Purpose: Oxidative stress plays a critical role in promoting tumor resistance to hypoxia and chemotherapeutic drugs. However, the prognostic role of oxidative stress-related genes (OSRGs) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) has not been fully explored.
Methods: We used transcriptome data from the GSE104580 cohort containing patients marked as responders or nonresponders to TACE therapy to identify differentially expressed OSRGs associated with TACE response (TR-OSRGs). We created a TR-OSRG prognostic signature based on TR-OSRGs using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox and stepwise Cox regression analyses in a training cohort of patients with HCC (TCGA-LIHC). We verified this prognostic signature in two external cohorts of patients who received TACE for HCC (GSE14520-TACE and ZS-TACE-37). Finally, we constructed a prognostic nomogram model for predicting survival probability of patients with HCC based on Cox regression analysis.
Results: The TR-OSRG prognostic signature was created and shown to be a robust independent prognostic factor for treatment response and outcomes for HCC after TACE therapy. Risk scores based on this signature correlated with tumor stage and grade. Tumor samples from patients with higher risk scores exhibited more infiltration of immune cells and significantly increased expression of immune checkpoint genes. We also developed a nomogram for patients with HCC based on the TR-OSRG prognostic signature and clinical parameters; this nomogram was a useful quantitative analysis tool for predicting patient survival.
Conclusion: The TR-OSRGs signature exhibited good performance in predicting treatment response and outcomes in patients with HCC treated with TACE.
Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma, transarterial chemoembolization, oxidative stress, response, prognosis
A Letter to the Editor has been published for this article.
Introduction
Globally, primary liver cancer is the sixth most common cancer and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related deaths.1 Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of liver cancer and is usually diagnosed at an advanced stage, resulting in limited treatment options.2
Transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) is recommended as first-line treatment for patients with unresectable localized liver tumors and well-preserved liver function.3 TACE therapy is an image-guided procedure in which drugs that slow or halt tumor development are injected into the artery supplying the HCC.4 The goals are to induce tumor ischemia by blocking the blood supply and to enhance antitumoral chemotherapeutic effects via retention of chemotherapeutics within the tumor environment.4 Currently, TACE has been shown to improve the median survival of patients to around 30 months for BCLC intermediate-stage HCC and up to 13 months when combined with sorafenib in patients with advanced-stage HCC.5 However, TACE is ineffective for some patients, and performing TACE when inappropriate may cause harm and reduce overall survival.6 Therefore, it is of utmost importance to improve the selection of patients with HCC who are most likely to benefit from TACE.
Genomic analyses have revealed substantial differences in the molecular characteristics of HCC cells and their tumor microenvironment, even in samples with the same clinical grade.2 Variations in molecular typing among patients with HCC are also associated with differences in treatment efficacy and prognosis.7 Increasing evidence suggests that oxidative stress contributes to HCC tumorigenesis and progression.8 Oxidative stress results from an imbalance between reactive oxygen species (ROS) and antioxidant molecules in cells and ultimately leads to DNA, lipid, and protein damage.9 HCC typically develops in the setting of chronic viral hepatitis (especially hepatitis B and hepatitis C), nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, and cirrhosis, disorders that may promote the production of ROS and induction of oxidative stress in tumor cells and their microenvironment.10 Notably, chemoembolization-induced ischemia, hypoxia, and chemical injury can induce ROS production in tumor cells and their microenvironment, and the resulting oxidative stress may promote HCC cell resistance to hypoxia and chemotherapeutic drugs.8,10,11 We thereby hypothesize that patient response and outcomes following TACE are related to the oxidative stress signature and that this signature may be utilized prospectively to predict prognosis.
In this study, we used a systematic and comprehensive integrative analysis of oxidative stress-related genes associated with response to TACE (TR-OSRGs) to construct and verify a prognostic signature for predicting treatment response and outcomes in patients with HCC treated with TACE. We analyzed the prognostic value of the signature and developed a prognostic nomogram based on the TR-OSRG signature to provide a quantitative analysis tool for predicting prognostic risk in patients with HCC.
Materials and Methods
Data Acquisition and Identification of TR-OSRGs
This study included mRNA expression data and clinical information of patients with HCC obtained from three publicly available datasets: The Cancer Genome Atlas Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma data collection (TCGA-LIHC), as well as the GSE1452012 and GSE104580 datasets from the Gene Expression Omnibus. From the GSE14520 development cohort, we selected 104 patients who received TACE therapy (the GSE14520-TACE cohort). The GSE104580 dataset contains data from 147 patients treated with TACE, 81 of whom responded well (TACE responders) and 66 of whom responded poorly (TACE nonresponders). Gene sets associated with oxidative stress were acquired from the Molecular Signatures Database13 (http://www.gsea-msigdb.org/gsea/msigdb).
Human Hepatocellular Carcinoma Specimens
HCC specimens were obtained from a subset of patients in the ZS cohort. This cohort included 432 patients with HCC who developed recurrent tumors after undergoing surgical resection with curative intent at the Liver Cancer Institute and Zhongshan Hospital of Fudan University between January 2014 and December 2015. Use of these specimens entailed patient informed consent and approval of our institutional Ethics Review Committee.
For this study, we included 37 patients who developed HCC recurrence within 1 year after surgery (the ZS-TACE-37 cohort). All patients in the ZS-TACE-37 cohort received a combination of chemotherapeutic agents, such as 5-fluorouracil, oxaliplatin, and lipiodol, during their TACE procedure. Modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors was used to assess response to TACE.14 A complete or partial response was defined as a response. Progressive or stable disease was defined as a nonresponse.
Immunohistochemistry (IHC)
Pathology slides were stained according to standard procedures. Briefly, after overnight incubation with primary antibody at 4°C, the slides were incubated with the appropriate secondary antibodies. Images were obtained under light microscopy, with three randomly selected fields used for uniform image capture. Staining intensity (0, 1+, 2+, or 3+) was determined for each cell in a fixed field, and an H-score was assigned using this formula: .15
Nonnegative Matrix Factorization Clustering Algorithm
The R package limma16 (version 3.10.3, http://www.bioconductor.org/packages/2.9/bioc/html/limma.html) was used to analyze differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between the TACE responder and nonresponder groups in the GSE104580 dataset. An absolute log2 fold change value >0.585 and an adjusted p value <0.05 were used to identify DEGs, from which differentially expressed OSRGs were extracted. KEGG analysis of the DEGs was performed using the R package clusterProfiler (version 4.4.4, http://bioconductor.org/packages/release/bioc/html/clusterProfiler.html). HCC samples from TCGA-LIHC were grouped using the R package ConsensusClusterPlus17 (version 1.54.0, http://www.bioconductor.org/packages/release/bioc/html/ConsensusClusterPlus.html). The number of clusters (K) ranged from 2 to 6, and cophenetic, dispersion, and profile measures were used to determine the ideal number of clusters.
Establishment of a Protein-Protein Interaction (PPI) Network
We explored possible interactions between proteins using data from the Search Tool for the Retrieval of Interacting Genes/Proteins18 (STRING, version 11.5, http://string-db.org/), with the interaction score 0.4.
Construction and Validation of the TR-OSRG Prognostic Signature
Univariate Cox regression analysis was performed to identify prognosis-related DEGs in the TCGA-LIHC dataset using the R package gwasurvivr (version 1.16.0, https://bioconductor.org/packages/gwasurvivr/). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox and stepwise Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate key prognosis-related qualities and to establish prognostic characteristics using the R package glmnet (version 1.2, https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/glmnet/index.html) and survminer (version 0.4.9, https://cran.rstudio.com/web/packages/survminer/index.html). A risk score (RS) was created based on gene expression levels and corresponding coefficient values. Specifically, we first standardize gene expression levels across all patient samples to ensure comparability. Next, using LASSO Cox regression analysis, we determine regression coefficients (weights) for each gene in the prognostic model. Finally, we calculate the RS by multiplying the standardized expression value of each gene by its respective regression coefficient and summing these products to derive the overall RS. Subsequently, we stratified patients into two subgroups according to the median RS. The ability of the prognostic signature to predict survival and estimate risk was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Kaplan–Meier survival analysis, and Cox models of relative risk.19
Assessment of Immune Cell Infiltration
We used the MCP counter20 (http://github.com/ebecht/MCPcounter) to quantify the subsets of infiltrating immune cells in the tumor environment of HCC samples. The Immune score and Stromal score of tumor tissues were determined using the R package ESTIMATE (https://bioinformatics.mdanderson.org/estimate/rpackage.html). Correlations between PDGFD, G6PD, and ADAM9 expression and expression of immune checkpoint genes in human HCC tissues were estimated using Tumor Immune Evaluation Resource21 (TIMER, https://cistrome.shinyapps.io/timer/). Correlations between PDGFD, G6PD, and ADAM9 expression and infiltration scores of immune cells (CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells, macrophages, and dendritic cells) in human HCC tissues were also estimated using TIMER.
Construction of a Prognostic Nomogram
Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent prognostic characteristics of patients with HCC in the TCGA-LIHC cohort. The regression analysis results were then used to construct a prognostic nomogram model for predicting survival probability of patients with HCC. R package rms (version 5.1–2, https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/rms/index.html) was used to generate a calibration graph showing the differences between predicted and actual survival rates of patients with HCC.
Statistical Analysis
All statistical analyses were performed with R software (version 4.0.3) or GraphPad Prism (version 7.0), setting the level of statistical significance at p<0.05. Unpaired Student’s t-tests, Pearson χ2 tests, or Fisher’s exact tests were used for comparisons, as appropriate. Correlations were evaluated using Pearson’s r. For Kaplan–Meier survival curves, statistical significance was estimated using the Log rank test.
Results
Identification of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Clusters Based on TR-OSRGs
By analyzing differences in gene expression between 81 TACE responders and 66 TACE nonresponders in GSE104580, we identified 45 differentially expressed TR-OSRGs. Based on these genes, we created a heat induction map (Figure 1A). We then performed KEGG enrichment analysis on these TR-OSRGs and found that tumorigenesis and immunomodulatory pathways were significantly enriched (Figure 1B). Based on TR-OSRG expression, patients with HCC in TCGA-LIHC were classified into two groups (cluster 1 and cluster 2) using the NMF clustering algorithm (Figure 1C). The Immune score, Stromal score, and ESTIMATE score were significantly higher in cluster 2 than in cluster 1 (p<0.0001, p<0.01, and p<0.0001, respectively, Figure 1D), and overall survival was significantly worse in cluster 2 than in cluster 1 (p=0.029, Figure 1E).
Construction of the TR-OSRG Prognostic Signature
We identified 28 prognosis-related TR-OSRGs in the TCGA-LIHC cohort using univariate Cox regression analysis and generated a correlation matrix by performing correlation analysis (Figure 2A). The PPI of these 28 molecules is shown in Figure 2B. We then constructed a prognostic prediction model based on the prognosis-related TR-OSRGs using LASSO Cox regression analysis (Figure 2C and D). Using stepwise Cox regression methodology, we generated an RS representing the oxidative stress status for the TR-OSRG signature based on the expression levels of three genes and their corresponding coefficients: RS = –0.1655 × PDGFD + 0.2184 × G6PD + 0.2398 × ADAM9. A forest plot showed that these three genes were closely associated with prognosis (Figure 2E). The GSE104580 nonresponder group had a significantly higher RS, with lower PDGFD, higher G6PD, and higher ADAM9 expression levels, compared to the responder group (Figure 2F and G). RS was calculated for each patient in the TCGA-LIHC cohort, and patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups based on the median RS. A scatter plot was created to depict the distribution of RS and their association with survival (Figure 2H). Kaplan–Meier survival analysis revealed that patients with a high RS had a worse prognosis, and ROC analysis showed that the TR-OSRG signature had good prognostic performance, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.744, 0.684, and 0.605 at 1-, 3-, and 5-year, respectively (Figure 2H).
Validation of the TR-OSRG Prognostic Signature
To further assess the predictive ability of the TR-OSRG signature for estimating the prognosis of patients with HCC who received TACE, external validation was performed using the GSE14520-TACE cohort. The RS was calculated for each patient using the same formula as above, and patients were classified into high- and low-risk groups according to the median RS in this validation cohort. The distribution of RS values and their associations with survival are illustrated in Figure 3A. Kaplan–Meier survival and ROC analyses were performed. Patients in the high-risk group had shorter overall survival than those in the low-risk group, and the AUCs of the TR-OSRG signature for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival are shown in Figure 3A.
We also performed immunohistochemistry to evaluate expression levels of the three TR-OSRGs in the ZS-TACE-37 cohort. This cohort included 15 patients who were TACE responders and 22 patients who were TACE nonresponders. The H-score was calculated to quantify the expression of each protein. Statistical analysis revealed that the nonresponder group had lower PDGFD, higher G6PD, and higher ADAM9 expression levels than the responder group (Figure 3B and C). The RS based on the H-score was then calculated for each patient in the ZS-TACE-37 cohort, and the nonresponder group was found to have a significantly increased RS, compared with the responder group (Figure 3D). Patients were divided into high- and low-RS groups according to the median RS, and survival analysis revealed that the high-RS group had an inferior prognosis, consistent with the prognostic role of mRNA levels (Figure 3E). These results thus indicate that the TR-OSRG prognostic signature was successfully verified in external cohorts of patients with HCC treated with TACE.
Construction of a Nomogram Based on the TR-OSRG Prognostic Signature
To assess the independence of the TR-OSRG prognostic signature for clinical applications, we performed Cox regression analysis in the TCGA-LIHC cohort. Significant correlations between RS and prognosis were found during both univariate regression analysis (hazard ratio [95% CI] = 1.753 [1.238–2.484], p=0.002) (Figure 4A) and multivariate regression analysis (hazard ratio [95% CI] = 1.717 [1.169–2.522], p=0.006) (Figure 4B), suggesting that the TR-OSRG prognostic signature had good independent clinical predictive value. Multiple regression revealed only two variables with a p value <0.05—tumor stage and RS—and a nomogram model was established to predict the survival risk of patients with HCC (Figure 4C). As shown in Figure 4D, there was good agreement between the predicted and actual 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates, as indicated by the amount of overlap between calibration curves. Moreover, HCC samples with a high nomogram score were associated with a significantly worse prognosis than those with a low nomogram score (Figure 4E). The AUC values of the prognostic model were 0.767, 0.739, and 0.698 for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival, respectively (Figure 4F), thereby confirming the good prognostic value of our model.
Correlation of the TR-OSRG Prognostic Signature with Clinical Features and Immune Cell Infiltration
To investigate whether the TR-OSRG prognostic signature correlated with clinical features and response to immunotherapy, we compared the RS of different subgroups in the TCGA-LIHC cohort. The RS was lower in cluster 1 (with a better prognosis) than in cluster 2 (Figure 5A), and the RS was higher in HCC samples from advanced-stage tumors than in samples from early-stage HCC (Figure 5B and C). HCC samples with higher tumor pathologic grade had a significantly higher RS (Figure 5D). To further understand the effect of the TR-OSRG prognostic signature on immunotherapy efficacy, correlations between RS and immune cell infiltration were analyzed. As shown in Figure 5E, tumors from the high-RS group exhibited more infiltration of T cells, CD8+ T cells, B cells, monocytes (macrophages), and dendritic cells, compared with tumors from the low-RS group. The higher T cell (CD3) and macrophage (CD68) infiltration in the high-RS group was also verified in the ZS-TACE-37 cohort (Figure 5F and G). Given the association between higher RS and tumor immunosuppression, the correlation between RS and expression of common immune checkpoint genes was also investigated. Interestingly, the high-RS group had significantly increased immune checkpoint gene expression (Figure 5H). Among the three genes in the risk model, G6PD was the gene most closely correlated with the expression of these immune checkpoint genes (Figure 5I). In total, our findings indicate that the TR-OSRG signature has good prognostic predictive power, in accordance with differences in clinical characteristics and immune cell infiltration between tumors.
Discussion
HCC is a common digestive system tumor with high aggressiveness and a poor prognosis.2 In the current era of precision medicine, in which predictive and prognostic biomarkers guide treatment based on molecular tumor features, advances in HCC treatment have lagged behind that of other tumors.22 TACE is currently a standard treatment for patients with unresectable HCC, especially those with BCLC intermediate-stage disease.3 As increasing attention focuses on the response to TACE therapy, there is an urgent need to detect gene signatures or biomarkers specifically associated with prognosis after TACE to aid in the identification of patients most likely to benefit from this treatment.
Different ROS control diverse aspects of tumor cell behavior from signaling to death, and deregulation of ROS production and ROS limitation pathways are features of HCC cells and their microenvironment.8 ROS also modulate the tumor environment, affecting the various stromal cells providing metabolic support, blood supply, and immune responses to the tumor.8 The oxidative stress state of tumor tissues, therefore, may affect the response to TACE therapy in patients with HCC, a treatment based on embolization of tumor blood supply and chemotherapy injury of tumor cells.4
In this study, we identified OSRGs differentially expressed between TACE responders and nonresponders (ie, TR-OSRGs) based on the GSE104580 dataset. We then used LASSO Cox and stepwise Cox regression analyses in the training cohort TCGA-LIHC to construct a TR-OSRG prognosis signature for HCC consisting of PDGFD, G6PD, and ADAM9 and successfully verified the validity of this signature in two external cohorts: GSE14520-TACE and ZS-TACE-37. We subsequently developed a nomogram based on the TR-OSRG prognostic signature and clinical parameters for patients with HCC, which was found to be an effective quantitative analysis tool for predicting patient survival. RSs based on the TR-OSRG prognostic signature correlated with tumor stage and grade; higher RS values were associated with greater infiltration of immune cells (eg, T cells, CD8+ T cells, B cells, monocytes [macrophages], dendritic cells) and significantly increased expression of immune checkpoint genes.
Platelet-derived growth factor D (PDGFD) is a member of the PDGF family of proteins. It is involved in the pathogenesis and progression of human cancer by regulating cell proliferation, apoptosis, migration, invasion, angiogenesis, and metastasis.23 PDGFD is significantly upregulated by oxidative stress and has been demonstrated to increase macrophage recruitment, interstitial fluid pressure, and maturation of blood vessels during angiogenesis.24 Glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PD) is the first and rate-limiting enzyme of the oxidative branch of the pentose phosphate pathway. G6PD has antioxidant properties and plays a major role in the anabolic metabolism of ribose 5-phosphate for nucleotide synthesis, regeneration of the reduced form of nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate (NADPH) for reductive lipid biosynthesis, and regeneration of glutathione for detoxification of ROS.25 It also has a prooxidant role in generating ROS via NADPH oxidase.25 Aberrant activation of G6PD via metabolic reprogramming alters NADPH levels, leading to an antioxidant or a prooxidant environment that may contribute to cancer development and resistance to therapies.26 A disintegrin and metalloprotease (ADAM) is a modular type I transmembrane protein that contains a metalloprotease domain and a disintegrin-like domain. ADAM9 possesses potent biologic activities; is highly expressed in cancers of the liver, prostate, pancreas, breast, and colon; and is associated with cancer progression and poor clinical outcomes.27 When tumor cells are subjected to crowding and hypoxic stress conditions, ADAM9 expression is upregulated, which is mediated through ROS.28 Upregulation of ADAM9 could facilitate cancer development, promote cancer cell invasion and migration, and increase resistance to stress-induced injuries.29
Induction of ischemia and hypoxia by hepatic artery occlusion and induction of tumor cell injury by introducing chemotherapeutic agents are the key components of TACE for HCC and lead to altered oxidative stress status.5 In tumors from patients who fail to respond to TACE, it is possible that the tumor microenvironment has undergone reprogramming of oxidative stress-related pathways prior to treatment, as evidenced by differential expression of TR-OSRGs. However, the precise mechanism of TACE resistance remains unclear. In recent years, oxidative stress has been associated with tumor immune microenvironment remodeling.30 Oxidative stress can cause oxidative DNA damage, which is an important initiator of malignant tumors.31 Persistent oxidative DNA damage can remodel the HCC microenvironment through the cyclic GMP-AMP synthase and stimulator of interferon genes (cGAS-STING) pathway, leading to recruitment of macrophages and T lymphocytes within the tumors, promoting the expression of immune checkpoint proteins, and creating an immunosuppressive tumor microenvironment.32 In addition, persistently elevated ROS levels can affect immune cell function by regulating cellular metabolism and further aggravate immune cell exhaustion.8 These findings provide a mechanistic explanation for our results. However, further investigations are required to determine the specific mechanisms underlying the effects of cross-talk between oxidative stress and immune microenvironment remodeling on the response to TACE in patients with HCC.
This study has some limitations. First, the development of a predictive tool using retrospective data to help select patients suitable for TACE treatment is only the first milestone. Conducting prospective clinical trials in different populations is a critical future direction. Second, changes in the expression of the studied genes before and after TACE treatment were not considered. Lastly, we did not provide the overall survival and progression-free survival rates of TACE responders and non responders. This limitation affected the comprehensiveness of our findings. Future research should include long-term follow-up data to validate the prognostic signature and enhance the robustness of survival analyses. Conducting studies with extended follow-up periods and larger patient populations will help address these shortcomings and further solidify our conclusions.
Conclusion
We created a novel prognostic signature based on an integrated analysis of TR-OSRGs. This signature has satisfactory performance for predicting treatment response and outcomes in patients with HCC treated with TACE. We also used this signature to develop a nomogram for patients with HCC receiving TACE therapy. This nomogram is an effective quantitative analysis tool for the clinical application of personalized precision therapy.
Data Sharing Statement
Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study, and the names of the repositories can be found in the article. Additional data supporting the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon request.
Ethics Statement
The study involving human participants was reviewed and approved by the Ethics Review Committee of Zhongshan Hospital of Fudan University (permission number B2024-105). This study followed the Declaration of Helsinki (2013 revision).
Acknowledgments
Hui Ma and Ting Yu are co-first authors for this study. We thank all participants in the TCGA-LIHC, GSE14520, GSE104580, and ZS-TACE-37 cohorts.
Funding
This research project was supported in part by a grant from The National Natural Science Foundation of China (81502010) and The Shanghai Pujiang Program (23PJ1401300).
Disclosure
The authors report no conflicts of interest in this work.
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