From Superman to F1, Expect a Summer of Blockbusters
BU film and TV expert on Hollywood’s love of sequels, box office predictions, and the film industry’s challenges

Posters via IMDb
From Superman to F1, Expect a Summer of Blockbusters
BU film and TV expert on Hollywood’s love of sequels, box office predictions, and the film industry’s challenges
It’s been 50 years since Jaws hit movie screens, scaring filmgoers out of the water and becoming the first-ever summer blockbuster.
Since then, Hollywood has saved the summer season for its biggest, flashiest, and most profitable releases. Over the past decade, think Captain America: Civil War; Top Gun: Maverick; Mad Max: Fury Road; and Barbie.

Summer now routinely accounts for roughly 40 percent of the annual US and Canada box office returns, according to Reuters. And this year is shaping up to be no exception. While superheroes, spinoffs, and Tom Cruise’s plane-jumping stunts are all on the slate, there’s also a broader mix: the live-action How to Train Your Dragon (out June 13), Jurassic World Rebirth, 28 Years Later, F1, and a reboot of The Naked Gun.
“This could be a $4 billion summer at the box office,” Vulture recently predicted. “Such an outcome would represent a reversion to a pre-pandemic mode of moviegoing that many had written off as financially extinct and culturally passé.”
To better understand the blockbuster phenomenon, BU Today spoke with Craig Shepherd, a 30-year film industry veteran and a College of Communication professor and chair of film and television. Shepherd has produced award-winning features and documentaries and been an executive producer on series, including Queer Eye for the Straight Guy and Anthony Bourdain’s Parts Unknown and No Reservations.
Q&A
with Craig Shepherd
BU Today: Hollywood has faced major challenges in recent years—the COVID pandemic, labor strikes by actors and writers in 2023, and a resulting loss of tens of thousands of jobs in the industry. Despite these setbacks, this summer’s movie season appears to be thriving. What’s driving that success so far?
Shepherd: I think a combination of pandemic, strikes, and timing is something that is leading to this resurgence, this plethora of films that are coming out right now. There is probably a slight lag in things that were in development, but didn’t move forward or perhaps due to actor availability issues. I think it’s a very good sign for Hollywood and the domestic box office that things are picking up. The international box office typically performs quite well, but the domestic market struggles a bit.
I think there is a need for a Hollywood summer blockbuster. This is just my opinion, but we could have said the same thing six or seven years ago—that we’re in a state of upheaval. [A movie] takes people away from what’s going on in their lives. It’s entertaining. The technology has ramped itself up to astounding heights. Think back to those days when you would take the family out to see a summer blockbuster or you went on a date night—I think it’s super important that those normalcies are back.
We live in a world of convenience, right? The [content] we consume is shorter and more convenient. When you talk about summer blockbusters, [they are] certain films that need to be seen on a massive screen. Yes, you can watch them on your phone, but a purist would scream, ‘No way! You can’t do that.’ There is something about going on this journey [to a theater]. We’re going to get our popcorn, choose really great seats, and be overwhelmed with visuals and sound for two hours—and that’s the point of it.
BU Today: Has the summer blockbuster season adjusted to changes in the industry?
Shepherd: I think it’s morphed from years and years ago, where there was always a cadence. Things had to get in before Christmas for the award season, and they had to play in the theater. Now, for the Academy Awards, streaming services will just four-wall something [a way to qualify films for awards that require a theatrical release] for the minimum number of weeks it needs for it to be considered. The distribution strategies have shifted. It’s not to say that summer blockbusters and big tentpole action movies are not going to be coming out in the summer, but I just think habits across the board from the consumer and how the consumer takes in content [have changed].
I think the ‘summer blockbuster’ has a great marketing angle—you have to see it, and you have to see it in the summer. I love it during the winter when you see the trailers come up and [it] says, ‘Coming July of 2025’—it’s laying the groundwork for what’s about to emerge.
BU Today: How do studios measure success beyond box office numbers?
I think when you look at any sort of intellectual property [IP], if it’s something original or if it’s based on a book, what you try to do is put that IP at the center of a wheel and build spokes around it. If it has a theatrical run and a second window streaming run, there are multiple opportunities to create revenue, including military rights, educational rights, merchandise, and spinoffs.
This is important because when you create all these characters in these worlds, you’re looking at it like it’s a start-up. It’s a business. How can this business survive on multiple revenue streams as opposed to just the theatrical box office? Across the board, the theatrical box office is down domestically and internationally, but [traditional] Hollywood blockbuster films do very well internationally.
There are specific algorithms that must be met. And so when creators come in and say, ‘Here’s an idea I have,’ it will be run through the middle of an algorithm, and if it comes out in a positive way, then that streamer is more apt to say, ‘Here’s your $45 million exclusively for us.’
Interestingly enough, this year at the Sundance Film Festival, things didn’t sell. It used to be that at film festivals, these independent films would emerge, a couple would pop, and there’d be a bidding war. And people want to do it and take it on. But nowadays, the technology from an algorithmic perspective is so tight that they don’t want to guess. They want to make sure everything is ticked off that they need to have ticked off in terms of boxes, and so no one’s willing to take a swing on something that may or may not hit for them. The competition is too fierce.
It’s tightened up a lot of the independent freedom to drill down into an algorithm. People look at the IP as, ‘How do I mine this for everything I can mine it for?’ And I love that aspect of it. The smart creatives understand it’s a business and know how to put something together in a formidable way. But creativity is involved in [coming up with] the business model around it. Each film, each IP is a start-up. And if you think that way and you think outside the box, you will create the new revenue streams of tomorrow, which will become the norm. So it’s really important that smart people are behind it, and [that] they look for opportunities.
BU Today: Disney recently released a remake of Lilo & Stitch. The original 2002 film wasn’t a massive box office hit, but it spawned a TV show, a sequel, and a ton of merchandise, and the new film has made more than $600 million globally since it opened in late May. What does that say about the power of nostalgia?
That’s another really smart way to reintroduce characters who have a base, an attachment to a certain generation, and now that generation has children. There’s a connectivity there and a sort of curation. It’s like, ‘Oh, you need to see this, because this is what I watched as a child, and these are all the characters, and I know everything about them.’ Your children are going to look at you in awe and think, ‘How do you know all of this?’
Everything old is new again, and people are risk-averse. The best way to be risk-averse is to take something that was tried-and-true many years ago, repackage it, and remake it for a new audience. You have institutional knowledge of what worked at that particular time, what people connected with, and what they did not connect with.
There is now enough research to see the shift in tides and likes and dislikes, and rebooting things over and over again. Is something a safe financial bet? It’s not 100 percent, but it’s pretty safe. And that also opens up a question counter to that argument, which is, what are going to be the next new things that 20 years from now can be rebooted into something else? as opposed to relying on something that was developed in the ’70s, ’80s, and ’90s, and just hanging your hat on that. I think there needs to be a fair balance between the two from a business perspective. You can simply reboot everything; that’s the easiest thing to do, and you won’t lose your job. But if you can mix that with introducing new creative IP, and it hits, then that’s probably the healthy sort of diversification of your portfolio.
BU Today: What films are you most looking forward to this summer?
Mission: Impossible—The Final Reckoning; Superman. I want to see Sinners. I’m curious about it purely because of the deal, because [director Ryan Coogler] got gross points. The IP reverts back to him after 20 years, so he’ll own it outright. And that deal is afforded to very few people. It’s original. IP, not based on something else. From a business perspective, that is fascinating.
Minecraft was panned, but did unbelievably well at the box office. The bigger, the flashier, and dare I say, the mindlessness of it all. I just want to sit back and be entertained.
BU Today: One movie I’m excited for is the racing movie starring Brad Pitt, F-1.
F-1 racing is super hot. The movie Drive to Survive proved to have a co-viewing audience. You would assume a racing movie might be skewed towards men, but Drive to Survive was about 50/50. That’s the sweet spot, right? F-1 racing has a lollapalooza-esque quality to it. You have the race, but you also have travel, the pretty people hanging out. It’s an experience.
BU Today: With the rise of short-form content and the increasing influence of nontraditional creators, how do you see schools like BU’s College of Communication evolving? And what core skills are important, even as formats and distribution methods change?
I think we’re in a really interesting time from a content perspective. Streaming has plateaued and movies are on a consistent downward trajectory in terms of box office and popularity. And consumers are taking things in differently and viewing shorter content. Influencers and content creators have shown that you don’t need a billion dollars to do something. People are doing amazing things with $5,000. They’re master marketers, they know their fan base, and people are smarter, quicker, and younger.
And so it’s awesome to see summer blockbusters and really good films come out that truly speak to something bigger amongst us or universal within us.
I’m curious where this is leading and how [academic] programs need to adjust or adapt to this new shift in the industry. That does not mean you don’t need to know how to tell a story, or shoot something, or edit something, or produce, or direct, or write, or be the costume designer or production designer. You have to get trained in those crafts.
It’s how what you’re making is distributed, in what form, and where, at what length. Those are the things that are top of mind for me.
The kids that are coming up now into these programs have had their hands on technology way sooner than any of us have. They need help with writing, directing, producing, shooting, and editing a story. They’re sophisticated and they’re savvy, and they just need a little bit of traditional understanding of the craft.
And then you let them fly and do what they want to do, however they want to do it. I’m curious to see what they come up with and what emerges next, because in a moment of chaos, opportunities arise, and people will jump on that opportunity, and that will become the norm.
And then this will happen again.
Comments & Discussion
Boston University moderates comments to facilitate an informed, substantive, civil conversation. Abusive, profane, self-promotional, misleading, incoherent or off-topic comments will be rejected. Moderators are staffed during regular business hours (EST) and can only accept comments written in English. Statistics or facts must include a citation or a link to the citation.